In this week’s coaching conversation, Dribble Handoff CEO Frank Dehel joins The Basketball Podcast to discuss underutilized strategies that increase win percentage.
Frank Dehel is founder and CEO of DribbleHandoff, the analytical platform for coaches of all levels. Frank analyzes NCAA and NBA data to share underutilized strategies and develop unique metrics, including his much-acclaimed college basketball shot quality metric, ShotQ. Previously, he consulted for Duke University during their 2015 Championship run. He also worked as an analyst for Phil Martelli at St. Joseph’s University, using analytics to impact lineup construction, player development, and opponent scouting.
“If we follow the herd, we will not be a good or great team. We will be average. We will be part of the herd.”
“82% of games won are won by the team with a higher effective field goal percentage in that game. So, shooting really wins games.”
“NBA analysts have long talked about the value of the corner three . . there is a true value there. Corner threes are made at about a four percent higher rate than above the break threes.”
“The corner three is, on average, . . much less contested than the above the break shot . . it’s more a byproduct of the possession . . than it is distance.”
“The actual shooting percentages themselves [of corner threes] are not that predictive of wins but the number of corner threes we take and allow is highly predictive.”
“Possessions where we get a post pass and a shot following that . . are some of the most efficient possessions we can get in all of basketball. So, as much as we can, we should be looking to play out of the post and get a pass out of the post.”
“If we’re looking . . to play for that pass [out of the post], why not post our best passer?”
“Guards don’t practice post defense as much as wings and bigs do. So, our guards that practice post moves offensively, they’re at a huge advantage.”
“At the NBA level, . . possessions that end in a ball screen – they’ve increased 24% over the last five years. And in college basketball, D-1, it’s right in line.”
“Ball screens . . not only create space at a minimum, but it also forces the decision load on the defense because there are so many options available.”
[On ball screens] “What should we value and what should we concede? . . By far, the least efficient option was the ball handler taking a floater or a runner. And the second least efficient? . . The ball handler taking a dribble jumper.”
“When looking at the post-season [in the NBA], the percentage of isolations that follow ball screens . . has risen from 4% to 13% . . teams are going to this looking to exploit positional mismatches or even looking to target defenders.”
“Offensive players, on average, get about four more minutes per game than the top defensive players.”
Selected Links from the Podcast:
Click below to listen on:
1:00 – Background
2:00 – Strategies and Data
5:00 – The Mid Range Shot is Dying
7:30 – Explaining the Midrange Concept to Coaches and Players
10:00 – Good Teams to Watch
11:00 – The Value of the Corner 3’s
13:00 – Using Data from Corner 3’s
15:30 – Data on Moving vs Shooting in the Corner 3’s
18:30 – Good Teams to Watch
19:30 – Value of the Post Up
26:30 – Teams that are Valuing the Post Ups
27:30 – Pick and Roll
30:00 – Uncontested Mid Range Shots
31:30 – Good Teams to Watch
32:20 – Switching
36:00 – Improving Free Throw Percentage
39:00 – Working on Isolated Free Throw Training
42:00 – Valuing Defensive Players
46:00 – Valuing Shots in an Unfair Way
48:00 – Offense Hunts the Matchup
50:00 – Conclusion
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